How could the Middle East conflict affect TNE?
The war in the Middle East has dramatically heightened the awareness of universities about the risks of operating overseas campuses, according to Jason Lane, head of the Cross-Border Education Research Team (C-BERT).
“I often give talks to university officials and discuss operational, financial and regulatory challenges,” he told The PIE News. “At the end, I would say that conflict could break out. People would laugh nervously because that was not something they wanted to think about.”
Lane, a professor at the University of Illinois, is part of a team at C-BERT that conducts research to understand the issues facing transnational education organisations.
The decision last month by the United States and Israel to bomb Iran sparked retaliation by the Islamic regime. It launched drones and missiles at several countries, including the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman.
While there have been no reports of university campuses being hit, the war has been unsettling for international students in the region.
“Every school I have talked to has cancelled programs or shifted to online learning,” Lane said. “They are hypersensitive of the risks to students, faculty and staff. They remain on the ground and are unable to leave.”
According to C-BERT’s research, the UAE is by far the largest host of international campuses in the region, with 39 universities having satellites in a country of just 11 million people. Across the world, that’s second only to China, which has 50 sites for a population of 1.4 billion.
A wide range of international universities operate campuses in UAE. These include the Sorbonne in Paris, the University of Birmingham, Royal Roads University in Canada and New York University.
“One of the factors that attracted schools to the UAE and Qatar is that they offered a stable environment,” said Lane. “The war in the Middle East has certainly shown that they can become unsafe – the bubble has burst.”
At the moment, administrators of overseas campuses are focused on the immediate problem of keeping people safe and moving learning online. But in the coming months, schools will need to consider whether they can still recruit students and faculty to come to the Middle East.
In the last 10 years, a number of international students have not been able to get into the United States to study and saw these campuses as an alternative|
Jason Lane, C-BERT
“In the last 10 years, a number of international students have not been able to get into the United States to study and saw these campuses as an alternative. There will still be students interested in pursuing [an international] education, but I do think it’s going to raise a lot of concern about attending these institutions.”
Hopefully, the fighting will end soon and – when it does – schools will need to address the long-term risks. University leaders who are considering establishing a satellite site will also need to give careful consideration to the challenges and dangers.
US and Canadian universities are showing greater interest in India, with its huge population of 1.4 billion people and growing economy.
India’s relations with Canada have been shaky in recent years, with accusations that the South Asian country has been interfering in Canada’s domestic affairs. A host country could remove permission for an international university campus at any time.
“The geopolitical landscape is going to be increasingly important in international education,“ said Lane . “If it becomes more fractured, the risk for establishing overseas campuses becomes heightened. Universities are going to have to be much more aware of what the geopolitical environment looks like.”
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